Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.045640 0.049705 0.053826 0.058310 0.063045 0.067889 0.073212
2024-10-27 0.039513 0.045539 0.051879 0.059018 0.066804 0.075014 0.084297
2024-11-03 0.033898 0.041228 0.049209 0.058479 0.068885 0.080143 0.093180
2024-11-10 0.029855 0.038178 0.047532 0.058701 0.071556 0.085771 0.102564
2024-11-17 0.026867 0.035995 0.046552 0.059472 0.074668 0.091792 0.112361
2024-11-24 0.025520 0.035571 0.047481 0.062355 0.080158 0.100519 0.125299
2024-12-01 0.022007 0.032183 0.044594 0.060467 0.079851 0.102395 0.130233
2024-12-08 0.019599 0.029964 0.042945 0.059900 0.080974 0.105841 0.136932
2024-12-15 0.017615 0.028119 0.041611 0.059588 0.082296 0.109448 0.143775
2024-12-22 0.016858 0.027841 0.042230 0.061693 0.086582 0.116635 0.154944
2024-12-29 0.015777 0.027021 0.042062 0.062732 0.089498 0.122143 0.164102
2025-01-05 0.014732 0.026163 0.041773 0.063555 0.092105 0.127256 0.172793
2025-01-12 0.013148 0.024438 0.040251 0.062733 0.092628 0.129854 0.178524
2025-01-19 0.012263 0.023684 0.040024 0.063612 0.095347 0.135220 0.187733
2025-01-26 0.011038 0.022309 0.038838 0.063120 0.096224 0.138238 0.194021
2025-02-02 0.010150 0.021389 0.038245 0.063396 0.098086 0.142502 0.201888
2025-02-09 0.009496 0.020791 0.038078 0.064233 0.100678 0.147699 0.210952
2025-02-16 0.009466 0.021229 0.039462 0.067285 0.106297 0.156865 0.225138
2025-02-23 0.008200 0.019446 0.037389 0.065302 0.104990 0.156966 0.227709
2025-03-02 0.007376 0.018358 0.036317 0.064709 0.105543 0.159471 0.233353
2025-03-09 0.006683 0.017441 0.035459 0.064381 0.106431 0.162399 0.239541
2025-03-16 0.006561 0.017588 0.036304 0.066602 0.110913 0.170140 0.252042
2025-03-23 0.006225 0.017292 0.036409 0.067698 0.113805 0.175772 0.261819